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Writer's pictureericlyle

Read the fine print - are we in Recession?

Updated: Sep 17, 2024

It's getting harder and harder to say we aren't in recession


Canada’s GDP Growth: A Closer Look at Q2 2024


Canada’s economy showed a 2.1% growth in GDP for Q2 2024, surpassing expectations. At first glance, these numbers seem promising, but a deeper analysis reveals things aren't as good as they seem.



GDP on the decline again
GDP per Capita Chart


A key detail is that government spending was responsible for 80% of the GDP increase. While this can provide a short-term boost, it raises questions about the sustainability of this growth. More concerning is the fact that GDP has declined for the fifth consecutive quarter and is down in seven of the last eight quarters.



Household Spending way down
Household Spending Chart


Additionally, household spending per capita has decreased by 5%, highlighting ongoing economic strain on individuals. Given these persistent issues, it’s becoming increasingly difficult to argue that Canada isn’t experiencing a recession.

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